In brief - Sound legal, financial and business strategies can help you weather cyclical upheavals
Miners, explorers and mining service providers should be aware of their options for capital raising, restructuring, director and officer risk avoidance and company risk management.
Iron ore price predicted to continue to fall
The iron ore price recently hit a five year low, at under $75 a tonne, falling almost 50% in a year. Most are predicting it will continue to fall to as low as $60 a tonne next year. Comparisons have been drawn to the troubling recent experiences in the aluminum and nickel markets when China flooded supply to drag down prices.
Voluntary administrations an indicator of difficult conditions
While the price should still be significantly above the largest miners’ break-even points, analysts are saying that junior producers, many of which operate in the $85-$100 a tonne range, will struggle to break even. This is borne out by the flow of voluntary administrations – Termite Resources in June, Sherwin Iron in July, Western Desert Resources and WDR Iron Ore in September and Pluton Resources Limited in November.
More than $10 billion of value has been wiped from four of Australia's largest iron ore miners this year alone. Smaller operations have been even harder hit, with Arrium's share price diving 50% since September.
The depressed conditions don’t only reduce producers’ profits. They also limit the availability of capital to explorers. They affect the flow of work (and risk) to mining service providers, including consultants, suppliers and contractors. And they contract the appetite for investment.
Strategies to help mining industry participants survive and thrive
Successful resource companies don’t just weather cyclical upheavals. They know that they often present the best conditions to outperform the market and their competitors. To take advantage of these conditions, they make sure that they are aware well before their competitors of the range of legal, financial and business strategies available to their business.
For example, miners, explorers and service providers usually have a range of strategies for:
Capital raising, including backdoor listings, bonds, investment, divestitures and off-take arrangements
Structuring and restructuring, including consolidation, cooperation and deeds of arrangement
Director and officer risk avoidance, including in relation to regulatory requirements relating to trading, listings, corporations law, environment, health, safety and anti-bribery/corruption
Company risk management, including in relation to procurement, compliance and insurance
Importance of preparation, experience, sound judgment and good advice
There can be dire consequences when such legal, financial and business strategies are not in place. This was underscored most recently when Forge’s liquidator claimed an entitlement to $50 million in turbines which Forge was leasing from APR - something that might have been avoided if APR had registered an interest in the turbines on the Personal Property Securities Register (PPSR).
There is no substitute for preparation, experience and sound judgment.
This is commentary published by Colin Biggers & Paisley for general information purposes only. This should not be relied on as specific advice. You should seek your own legal and other advice for any question, or for any specific situation or proposal, before making any final decision. The content also is subject to change. A person listed may not be admitted as a lawyer in all States and Territories. © Colin Biggers & Paisley, Australia 2023.